Russia Terminates Black Sea Grain Deal and other news

Russia Terminates Black Sea Grain Deal and other news

Russia Terminates Black Sea Grain Deal, Wheat Prices Spike, As Extent Of Crimea Bridge Terrorist Attack Revealed

Wheat prices jumped as news broke Monday that Russia let the UN-brokered grain deal lapse at midnight, Istanbul time, marking the end of the Turkey-administered humanitarian corridor which let Ukrainian grains get exported to global markets. Russia since confirmed the deal has been “terminated”. According to the latest from Moscow, as well as the US reaction:

  • Russian U.N. Mission: No more talks planned on black sea grain deal, Russia’s decision to withdraw is final — RIA
  • RUSSIA TELLS UN SHIPPING AGENCY IMO THAT END OF BLACK SEA GRAIN DEAL MEANS ‘GUARANTEES FOR SAFETY OF NAVIGATION ISSUED BY RUSSIAN SIDE WILL BE REVOKED’ – LETTER EXCERPT SEEN BY REUTERS
  • RUSSIA ALSO TELLS IMO THAT ‘PROACTIVE NECESSARY ACTIONS AND RESPONSE MEASURES TO NEUTRALIZE THREATS POSED BY THE KIEV REGIME IN THE AREA WILL BE TAKEN’ – LETTER EXCERPT SEEN BY REUTERS
  • U.S. ENVOY TO U.N. SAYS RUSSIA ENDING BLACK SEA GRAIN DEAL AN ‘ACT OF CRUELTY’

What was formally called the Black Sea Grain Initiative had already been extended for multiple short increments since its implementation in July 2022. The Kremlin confirmed in a statement by Dmitry Peskov: “The Black Sea agreements ceased to be valid today. As the President of the Russian Federation said earlier, the deadline is July 17.”

“Unfortunately, the part relating to Russia in this Black Sea agreement has not been implemented so far. Therefore, its effect is terminated,” the presidential spokesman continued. Ultimately this will put much more pressure on Kiev, already in the midst of a failing counteroffensive, which is likely Russia’s strategic purpose in suspending the deal.

But Peskov suggested it could be reimplemented if Russia’s conditions for resumption are met, namely the country’s ability to export its own foodstuffs safely, after Moscow has long voiced its objections, which has included blaming the Ukrainians for placing naval mines in the Black Sea corridor. 

“As soon as the Russian part is completed, the Russian side will return to the implementation of this deal immediately,” Peskov said. He further described the agreement as having “been de facto stopped” – again suggesting the possibility of a speedy resumption following negotiations that would address Russia’s concerns. 

Currently there’s speculation that the fresh attack on the Crimean Bridge (also known as the Kerch Strait Bridge) was a last straw, but Moscow is downplaying the connection. The Washington Post writes Monday morning:

Ukraine’s military and security services were responsible for the attack on a key bridge that connects the Crimean peninsula to the Russian region of Krasnodar, a Ukrainian official said Monday. Ukraine used sea surface drones to attack the bridge — an important supply artery for Russia’s war in Ukraine — the official said, speaking on the condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of military operations. On Monday, the Kremlin said the grain deal, which allowed Ukrainian grain to be shipped from Black Sea ports despite wartime hostilities, is “being terminated” until Russia’s demands are met.

However, Peskov noted that Russia’s willingness to pull out of the grain deal initiative was communicated prior to the attack, which reportedly killed two civilians and suspended bridge traffic. Russia has denounced the “terrorist attack”

The White House reaction has been to say that Moscow has been using the grain deal as “a weapon” – as stated by Secretary of State Antony Blinken. Putin for his part has complained that food exports have not been going to countries which are most in need, in Africa and the Middle East, but instead to Kiev’s preferred Western partners in Europe who are busy supplying battlefield arms.

China reacted later in the day Monday…

Moscow has the two killed in the overnight Crimea Bridge attack involved a Russian family traveling on vacation whose vehicle was destroyed. A statement further alleged assistance to Ukrainian forces by the US and UK.

“This regime [the Ukrainian government] is terrorist and has all the hallmarks of an international organized crime group,” foreign ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova said in a written statement. “Ukrainian officials and military personnel take those decisions with direct input from American and British special services and politicians. The US and Britain are managing a state-like terrorist structure,” it said.

Putin vows retaliation for new Crimean Bridge strike

The blast was yet another “pointless and brutal” terrorist attack by the Kiev regime, the Russian president said
Putin vows retaliation for new Crimean Bridge strike

Russian President Vladimir Putin has vowed retaliation for a new overnight strike on the Crimean Bridge, targeted by two Ukrainian naval drones. Precise measures are currently being weighed up by the country’s Defense Ministry, he said, during an extraordinary meeting with senior officials on Monday.

“The incident is a yet another terrorist attack by the Kiev regime. This crime is pointless from the military point of view, since the Crimean Bridge has long not been used for military transport, and brutal, since only innocent civilians were killed and injured,” the president stressed.

Putin said Moscow would retaliate harshly for the attack. The Russian Defense Ministry is already preparing “necessary proposals” for such measures, he added.

The president also urged officials to ramp up security measures around the bridge, noting that this marks the second such blow against it. Both the road and railway sections were heavily damaged last October, when a truck packed with explosives was detonated on it.

“I am waiting for specific proposals to improve the security of this strategically important transport facility,” Putin added.

The vital transport link received considerable damage in the new attack, with one of its road sections “completely destroyed,” Russian Deputy Prime Minister Marat Khusnullin, tasked with organizing repairs to the structure, said during the meeting. However, he told the president that the bridge’s pillars had not been damaged in the blast.

“That’s good news. If we can speak about some good news here at all. But the fact that the pillars are not damaged is the most important thing,” Putin replied.

The morning blasts, believed to have been caused by seaborne drones, killed two Russian civilians who were traveling across the bridge in a vehicle, and left their now orphaned 14-year-old daughter injured.

Putin vows retaliation for new Crimean Bridge strike

Russian President Vladimir Putin has vowed retaliation for a new overnight strike on the Crimean Bridge, targeted by two Ukrainian naval drones. Precise measures are currently being weighed up by the country’s Defense Ministry, he said, during an extraordinary meeting with senior officials on Monday.

“The incident is a yet another terrorist attack by the Kiev regime. This crime is pointless from the military point of view, since the Crimean Bridge has long not been used for military transport, and brutal, since only innocent civilians were killed and injured,” the president stressed.

Putin said Moscow would retaliate harshly for the attack. The Russian Defense Ministry is already preparing “necessary proposals” for such measures, he added.

The president also urged officials to ramp up security measures around the bridge, noting that this marks the second such blow against it. Both the road and railway sections were heavily damaged last October, when a truck packed with explosives was detonated on it.

“I am waiting for specific proposals to improve the security of this strategically important transport facility,” Putin added.

The vital transport link received considerable damage in the new attack, with one of its road sections “completely destroyed,” Russian Deputy Prime Minister Marat Khusnullin, tasked with organizing repairs to the structure, said during the meeting. However, he told the president that the bridge’s pillars had not been damaged in the blast.

“That’s good news. If we can speak about some good news here at all. But the fact that the pillars are not damaged is the most important thing,” Putin replied.

The morning blasts, believed to have been caused by seaborne drones, killed two Russian civilians who were traveling across the bridge in a vehicle, and left their now orphaned 14-year-old daughter injured.

Zelensky, Pentagon Acknowledge Counteroffensive Had To Be “Paused” Amid Losses

The New York Times in a weekend story admitted that things are looking grim for the chances of Ukraine’s counteroffensive, acknowledging that President Zelensky had been forced to put it on “pause” at one point.

The story, headlined “After Suffering Heavy Losses, Ukrainians Paused To Rethink Strategy” still sought to put a positive spin on the dire situation for Kiev:

Some of the improvement came because Ukraine changed tactics, focusing more on wearing down the Russian forces with artillery and long-range missiles than charging into enemy minefields and fire.

But that good news obscures some grim realities. The losses have also slowed because the counteroffensive itself has slowed — and even halted in places — as Ukrainian soldiers struggle against Russia’s formidable defenses. And despite the losses, the Ukrainians have so far taken just five of the 60 miles they hope to cover to reach the sea in the south and split the Russian forces in two.

This after admitting that only within the first couple weeks of the counteroffensive Ukraine forces lost some 20% of the weaponry newly supplied by the West, including tanks and armored vehicles. The much-vaunted offensive had kicked off in May, but hasn’t translated to any major gains.

“This week, Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelensky, acknowledged that there had been a brief pause in operations some weeks ago but blamed it on a lack of equipment and munitions, and called on Western allies to quicken the pace of deliveries,” wrote the Times.

The report underscored that that the Pentagon has since publicly acknowledged the “pause”, but then added: “American officials acknowledged the pause and said that the Ukrainians had begun moving again, but more deliberately, more adept at navigating minefields and mindful of the casualty risks.”

As for Zelensky, he said in Friday words to the nation that “We must all understand very clearly, as clearly as possible, that Russian forces in our southern and eastern lands are doing everything they can in order to stop our soldiers.” He added, “And every thousand metres we advance, every success of every combat brigade deserves our gratitude.”

Very quickly after the counteroffensive kicked off last month, he admitted “slower than expected” pace while also complaining that more Western weapons and artillery are badly needed.

The start of the counteroffensive some two months ago was accompanied by glowing Western mainstream media accounts of the rapid successes that would be wrought. Even before that, most accounts of the battlefield situation were heavily skewed to fit a pro-Kiev, pro-West narrative – but the reality has proven much messier and ultimately illusory

American “bomb” report: “Counterattack over – Ukrainians have colossal losses” – Sergeant: “They keep asking for evacuation – Everything burned”

The reality is very grim – 30% of Leopards and 20% of Bradleys are lost!

"Death Zone" Central Zaporizhia: Ukrainians broke through Russian defenses in Rabotino and recaptured Rivnopil with heavy "blood tax" (vid, pictures)

A bombshell New York Times op-ed quoting US and other NATO Officials completely deconstructs the Ukrainian counteroffensive, noting that it stalled because of Kiev’s colossal losses.

American officials and analysts cite shocking figures emphasizing that 20% of Bradleys and 30% of Leopards have been lost so far! And this with the “good morning” of the counterattack.

See for example the new video from Zaporizhia. Ukrainian group requests urgent evacuation after failed attack. This pattern is now constantly repeated, especially on the Zaporizhia front.

The Ukrainians, after the heavy losses in tanks and armored vehicles, are mainly using Infantry as WarNews247 recorded yesterday.

But there is chaos there too. A pure tragedy as the British mercenary described it yesterday.

In the first two weeks of Ukraine’s counteroffensive, 20 percent of the weapons it sent into the battlefield were damaged or destroyed, according to U.S. and European officials.

The account includes some of the Western machines – tanks and armored personnel carriers – with which the Ukrainians counted on defeating the Russians.

The staggering casualty rate dropped to about 10 percent in the following weeks, officials said.

The improvement came about because Ukraine changed tactics, focusing more on destroying Russian forces with artillery and long-range missiles while avoiding enemy minefields and Russian artillery.

Read also: “Meat machine” Zaporizhia: Second major massacre of Ukrainian forces – Russians drowned in blood three waves of attacks with hundreds of dead (vid)

Ukrainian Sergeant: “Everything burned”

But this good news obscures some grim realities. Casualties have also slowed because the counteroffensive itself has slowed – and even stopped in places – as Ukrainian soldiers struggle against Russia’s formidable defenses.

And despite the losses, the Ukrainians have so far made just five of the 60 miles they hope to cover to reach the sea to the south and cut Russian forces in half.

A Ukrainian soldier said in an interview this week that his unit’s drone captured footage of half a dozen Western armored personnel carriers ambushed by artillery south of the town of Velyka Novosilka.

“Everything burned,” said the soldier, who identified himself as Sergeant Igor.

“Everyone is hoping for a big penetration,” he said.

Russia has had many months to prepare for the counterattack, and the front is littered with mines, tank traps and dug trenches, while Russian reconnaissance drones and attack helicopters fly overhead with great frequency.

Given these fortifications, experts say, it is not surprising that Ukraine would suffer relatively heavy casualties in the early stages of the campaign.

Also read: They fought heroically to the end: 11 minutes of mass casualties of the Ukrainian Army – The most heartbreaking video yet (Hard images 18+)

Stop the counterattack

This week, Ukraine’s president, V. Zelensky, acknowledged that there had been a brief pause in operations. At the same time, he blamed the West for the lack of equipment and ammunition and called on Western allies to speed up the pace of deliveries.

U.S. officials acknowledged that pause and said the Ukrainians began moving again, but more purposefully, more experienced in navigating minefields and aware of the risks of casualties. With the shipment of cluster munitions from the United States, they said, the pace could be quickened.

“It’s not that fast, but it’s not catastrophically delayed,” British Defense Secretary Ben Wallace said on Wednesday . “He’s doing what anyone else would do to fight his way through minefields to the Russian line.”

The problems are centered on farms in southern Ukraine, where much of the counteroffensive is taking place. There, Bradley vehicles, coveted by the Ukrainians, run into anti-tank mines on a daily basis, say soldiers who have fought in the area.

The vehicles, which weigh around 34 tons, are designed to transport soldiers through areas exposed to artillery fire. In the design of the Ukrainian counteroffensive, the Bradleys were intended to transport troops across open fields to reach Russian trenches and bunkers.

“Your ears are ringing and things inside are flying around,” said Pvt. Serhiy, who asked to be identified only by his first name and rank.

It survived one such blast last month in fighting south of the city of Orikhiv in the Zaporizhia region. In many cases the explosions severely damaged the vehicles, immobilizing them long before they could reach the Russian lines.

Military experts have long said that the first 15 miles of the Ukrainian counteroffensive will be the most difficult, as the attacking troops need three times as much strength – in weapons, personnel or both – as the defending forces.

Ukraine’s top military officer, General Valery Zaluzhny, expressed his disappointment that Ukraine is fighting without Western F-16 jets. This left Ukrainian troops vulnerable to Russian helicopter gunships and artillery.

Military analysts cautioned that it was still too early to draw any definitive conclusions about the counterattack.

Read also: “Death Zone” Central Zaporizhia: Ukrainians broke through Russian defenses in Rabotino and recaptured Rivnopil with heavy “blood tax” (vid, pictures)

Ukrainian losses

“It doesn’t mean it’s doomed to fail,” said Camille Grand, a defense expert at the European Council on Foreign Relations and a former NATO assistant secretary general.

However, he added, the absence of air superiority and air defenses that Western fighters could provide for the Ukraine attack means “casualty rates are likely to be higher than in other conventional conflicts.”

The exact number of weapons and armored vehicles destroyed in the counterattack, as opposed to “mobility kills” that can be repaired, is secret, and U.S. officials did not provide figures, although they agreed on the percentages of weapons lost.

For example, Ukraine’s 47th Mechanized Brigade, one of three units equipped and trained in the West was to receive 99 Bradleys, according to US military plans.

Data from Oryx, a military analytics website that only counts casualties it has visually confirmed, shows 28 of those Bradleys have been abandoned or destroyed, including 15 in a village in Zaporizhia province on June 8 and 9.

The 47th Brigade was attacked by helicopters while trapped in a minefield.

Six additional Bradleys were reported abandoned or destroyed at Mala Tokmachka on June 26, but Oryx researchers said those losses occurred earlier, although it is unclear exactly when.

Since the 47th was the only brigade originally slated to receive the Bradleys, this means that almost a third of the original tanks have been lost — though all but seven were blown up on a single battlefield.

Read also: Tragedy without end: Ukrainian forces massacred in the blink of an eye in Ugledar, Gorlovka, Zaporizhia! – Ukrainian soldier: Let’s go to Vietnam!

“It’s within the realm of possibility that Ukrainian forces have seen casualties at this level,” said Dylan Lee Lehrke, an analyst at British security intelligence firm Janes, adding that a “significant” level of lost weapon systems is generally characteristic of wars of attrition. like the one in Ukraine.

NATO Is Moving The World Towards WWIII, It’s Inevitable

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