If you take into account the America-centric bias I would say this report is fairly accurate, perhaps right up to his longer-term scenario.
Whatever Anerica is (or rather, was) China is an upcoming imperial power.
From Indian media
China’s Afghan Game: Minerals worth $1 Trillion
The Taliban is now sitting on minerals worth $1 trillion spread across Afghanistan. A 2010 Pentagon report called Afghanistan the ‘Saudi Arabia of Lithium’. Is this why China is striking deals with the Taliban? Palki Sharma has a report.