After 8 years of Vineyard of the Saker Andrei is closing his blog down – he has always said he would if things moved to a direct war situation Important message about the blog from Andrei Dear friends, While I did not reply to any comments, I have read them very carefully. I have also received a lot of emails and, again, I read all of them very carefully. I also consulted with my family, a few very trusted friends…
There is an alternative to arguing and bickering: that is to wait and see Zelensky, “We are ready for peace.” CIA Burns meets Russia’s Naryshkin Zelensky Visits Kherson, Hailing It As “The Beginning Of The End Of The War” Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky showed up in the southern city of Kherson on Monday, after last week Russia made an unusually blunt defense ministry televised announcement that its forces would withdraw from the city, citing a desire to preserve troop and civilian lives. …
Putin’s September 30, 2022, speech – a commented reading The first thing which I will do today is post the full video of Putin’s speech with English subtitles made by Michael Rossi on YouTube: Next, I will now post the full transcript. I will add emphasis by blue bolding out some key passages and a few key words will be emphasized in bold red. I will then add my own comments in italics red. President of Russia Vladimir Putin: Citizens of Russia, citizens of the…
Russia will mobilize about 1.2% of her mobilizational potential (UPDATED!) So, after lots of speculation, we now know that the Kremlin has decided to mobilize about 300’000 soldiers from a total mobilizational potential of 25’000’000 soldiers. That’s just a little over 1% of Russia’s mobilizational potential. We are talking only about those soldiers who have an official status of “reserves” and all of them will have to undergo a special training before being sent to the Ukraine. A few comments about…
Five months into the Special Military Operation – a summary Vineyard of the Saker, 23 July, 2022 Note: after three months away (mostly) from the blog, it is a real pleasure for me to come back. Simply put – I missed you and I missed writing analyses. Thus I am truly delighted to be back and I want to once again thank all those who patiently waited for me to recharge my batteries. Your support means the world to me!…
Dear friends The Saker blog has been under attack for many months, but we kept it quiet. Our webmaster and sysadmin Herb has successfully beat back all the attacks, but now the enemy has upped both the scale and nature of the attack and we are barely hanging on. I have two urgent requests: 1) If you are an IT security specialist (or can contact one you know) and you think that you (or he/she), or your company, can help,…
The story of Russia and Ukraine and the cause of the military operation This is from Hal Turner. I have left out the graphics Ukraine March 2, 2022 – UPDATE 3:18 PM EST (See Bottom) Ukraine Spec-Ops Publicly Warns Captured Russians “Will be Carved like a pig” The city of Kherson in southern Ukraine appears to have been captured by Russian Army forces. Images from city security cameras seems to show Russian Military Vehicles in complete control of the main…
The situation is about to quickly escalate, probably in the next days Today, I want to begin with a small allegorical story. One upon a time, there was a bear sleeping in his lair and minding his business. One day, a small group of rodents decided to have some fun time pestering the bear. So they began running around, making a lot of noise (some even dared the bear to come out and fight them) and even threw colorful little…
From the Saker Vineyard of the Saker, 21 February, 2022 I listened to the full Russian Security Council meeting, then to Putin’s address to the nation, then the signing of the the treaties on cooperation and mutual support. The first thing which I want to point out is that this was a very carefully orchestrated event, and I don’t just mean today’s live meetings and signing. For those of us who follow Russian politics very closely there can be no…
